Verified technical progress, overlaid on market valuation.
Compare verified technical progress against market valuation across listed and private frontier actors. Every figure links to a primary source.
Open the screener →Reading the verified dataset: 147 actors · 15 active fields · 307 primary sources
Recently verified
The latest milestones confirmed against a primary source.
- Frontier AIA misalignment disclosure framework with publication clocksOpenAI — three review tracks, six incident reportsSource ↗
- Brain-Computer InterfacesOne implant decodes speech and gesture at the same timeNature Neuroscience — peer-reviewed, two participantsSource ↗
- Brain-Computer InterfacesUnscripted real-time speech from a high-channel implantParadromics — Connexus, Connect-One early feasibility studySource ↗
- Humanoid RobotsA humanoid factory with a stated rate: one unit every 10 minutesUBTECH — Liuzhou, Guangxi, ChinaSource ↗
- Frontier AIFrontier labs grant outside evaluators employee-level accessAnthropic (commitment), OpenAI (matched) — evaluators incl. METRSource ↗
- Autonomous DrivingEurope's first robotaxi rides with nobody in the driver's seatPony.ai / Verne / Uber — Zagreb, CroatiaSource ↗
Latest catalysts
Stock-moving events across the tracked companies — the figures may sit still, but the news doesn't.
- CredibilityOPINIONOpenAI put a clock on misalignment disclosure — and published six incidents to start itOpenAIOpenAI
- CredibilityTexas logged its first robotaxi fatality — the Waymo was the third vehicle in the sequenceWaymoAustin American-Statesman
- CredibilityOne implant, speech and gesture at once — and the combination is not the sum of its partsNature Neuroscience / NIH
- CommercializationAgility's Digit 5 is built to work outside the cage — nobody has certified that yetAgility RoboticsThe Robot Report
Every technical figure links to a primary source — papers, filings, press.
Delayed price & market cap, mapped onto the same 0–5 maturity scale.
The technology ↔ market gap is explicitly opinion — never a rating or price target.
Technology ↔ market gap
Our signature view overlays the verified technical stage on the market-implied stage — showing where price runs ahead of, or behind, demonstrated progress.
Price implies a more advanced stage than primary sources confirm.
Valuation broadly tracks verified technical progress.
Verified progress runs ahead of what the market prices in.
Gap = market-implied stage − verified technical stage, within each field cohort.
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All fields →Furthest along, by verified stage
Listed companies ranked by verified technical stage (0–5).